Graph showing downward trend in mortgage rates holding under 6 percent
Mortgage and refinance rates remain favorable below 6% as of today.

Mortgage and Refinance Interest Rates Today, January 17, 2026: Rates Hold Under 6%

“Mortgage rates for key loan types remain stable below the 6% threshold, providing opportunities for homebuyers and refinancers amid economic moderation; 30-year fixed averages hover around 5.95%, down from recent highs, while refinance options show slight premiums but still offer potential savings for qualified borrowers.”

Current Mortgage and Refinance Rates Overview

Mortgage rates have stabilized in a favorable range, with the benchmark 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaging 5.95% for purchase loans, reflecting a minor dip from the previous week’s 6.02%. This marks the third consecutive week where rates have held under 6%, influenced by tempered inflation expectations and signals from federal policymakers on potential monetary easing. For refinancers, the 30-year fixed refinance rate stands at 6.05%, a level that could translate to meaningful monthly savings for homeowners locked into higher rates from prior years.

The 15-year fixed mortgage, popular among those seeking faster equity buildup, is averaging 5.35% for new purchases, while its refinance counterpart is at 5.45%. Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) continue to appeal to short-term buyers, with the 5/1 ARM at 5.50%, offering initial teaser rates before potential adjustments.

Factors Shaping Today’s Rates

Loan TypePurchase RateRefinance RateAPR (Purchase)APR (Refinance)
30-Year Fixed5.95%6.05%6.02%6.12%
15-Year Fixed5.35%5.45%5.42%5.52%
5/1 ARM5.50%5.60%5.57%5.67%
30-Year FHA5.80%5.90%6.50%6.60%
30-Year VA5.40%5.50%5.60%5.70%
Jumbo (over $766,550)6.10%6.20%6.17%6.27%

Economic indicators play a pivotal role in the current rate environment. Recent labor market data shows unemployment holding steady at 4.2%, coupled with consumer spending growth slowing to 2.5% annually, which has eased upward pressure on rates. Bond yields, particularly the 10-year Treasury, have declined to 3.85%, directly impacting mortgage pricing as lenders adjust to lower borrowing costs.

Government-backed loans like FHA and VA options remain competitive, with VA rates benefiting from no down payment requirements and reduced fees for eligible veterans. Jumbo loans, however, carry a slight premium due to higher risk thresholds, though they’ve followed the downward trend, dropping 0.15% over the past month.

Regional variations persist, with rates in high-cost areas like California and New York edging 0.10% to 0.20% higher than national averages, driven by local housing demand and property taxes.

Rate Trends and Comparisons

Over the past year, rates have trended downward from a peak of 7.20% in mid-2025, fueled by a cooling economy and strategic interventions in the mortgage-backed securities market. Week-over-week, changes are minimal—less than 0.05% across most categories—but the cumulative effect has boosted affordability.

For a $400,000 loan, today’s 30-year fixed rate at 5.95% yields a monthly principal and interest payment of approximately $2,380, compared to $2,660 at last year’s average of 7.00%, representing annual savings of over $3,360. Refinancing scenarios show even greater potential: A borrower with a 7.50% rate from 2024 could reduce payments by $350 monthly by switching to 6.05%, assuming closing costs are rolled in or offset.

ARM products have seen increased interest, with applications up 15% year-over-year, as borrowers bet on future rate cuts before adjustment periods kick in.

Implications for Borrowers

Homebuyers in competitive markets are finding more leverage, with inventory rising 8% nationally and median home prices stabilizing at $410,000. Refinancers, particularly those with loans originated before 2025, stand to benefit from the sub-6% environment, potentially unlocking equity for home improvements or debt consolidation.

Credit scores above 740 secure the best terms, with lenders offering 0.25% to 0.50% discounts for strong profiles. Points purchases remain a strategy for rate buydowns, where paying 1% upfront could shave 0.25% off the rate, ideal for long-term holders.

Market Outlook

Analysts anticipate continued stability through the first quarter, with possible further declines if inflation reports confirm a downward trajectory. However, geopolitical tensions or unexpected economic rebounds could introduce volatility, prompting borrowers to lock in rates sooner rather than later.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this news report is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial tips or advice from sources.

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